E.B. Grunis, I.V. Kolokolova, V.B. Rostovshchikov, G.V. Ul’yanov
Substantiation of petroleum potential of the Domanik-Tournaisian carbonates: specifics of applying the risk assessment methodology (Timan-Pechora Petroleum Basin)
DOI 10.31087/0016-7894-2020‑1‑21‑33
Key words: TimanPechora; NorthUrals Petroleum Region; probability; geological success; risks; exploration activities; DomanikTournaisian play.
For citation: Grunis E.B., Kolokolova I.V., Rostovshchikov V.B., Ul’yanov G.V. Substantiation of petroleum potential of the Domanik‑Tournaisian carbonates: specifics of applying the risk assessment methodology (Timan‑Pechora Petroleum Basin). Geologiya nefti i gaza. 2020;(1):21–33. DOI: 10.31087/0016‑7894‑2020‑1‑21‑33. In Russ.
Funding: The paper is written as a part of carrying out the State Assignment on “Prediction of the state of the Russian oil and gas sector resource base on the basis of the system researches of natural reservoirs hydrocarbon potential in carbonate, terrigenous, and shale formations” for the year 2019. 131 Line of Fundamental Research. Section IX. Earth Sciences. State Registration Number: АААА‑А19‑119030690047‑6. RF Government Executive Order dated October 31, 2015, No. 2217‑р.
Researches, case studies, and any other geological investigations should be ultimately aimed at meeting the public demand in any required type of mineral resources. In petroleum geology, this means accelerated and cost‑effective discovery of oil and gas fields that are profitable for development. Risk assessment is the important component of geological and economic evaluation of project implementation. This work allows creating algorithm of making decisions on exploration activities optimisation in any stage, and define key priorities, first and foremost exploration targets (plays). In assessment of risks of any given project, determination of geological success chance is the key constituent. The world’s leading oil companies and research teams have their own methods for determining the probability of geological success (Pg). They are based on the comprehensive assessment of possible prospects of the region in the context of certain considerations related to different elements of petroleum systems (oil and gas source rocks, reservoir, fluid barrier, trap, time of structures formation, hydrocarbon generation and migration). The difference between the methodologies is the variable number of significant multipliers (factors) of evaluation validity and level of detail. The authors consider an example of the risk assessment methodology application for substantiation of petroleum potential of the Domanik‑Tournaisian play, including Domanikites within the pre‑Urals Foredeep (Timan‑Pechora Petroleum Province) and prioritizing of exploration activities.
Evgeniy B. Grunis ORCiD
Doctor of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, professor,
chief research fellow
All‑Russian Research Geological Oil Institute,
36, Shosse Entuziastov, Moscow, 105118, Russia
e‑mail: grunis@vnigni.ru
Irina V. Kolokolova ORCiD
Scientific researcher
Oil and Gas Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences,
3, ul. Gubkina, Moscow, 119333, Russia
e‑mail: ipngkolokolova@yandex.ru
Vladimir B. Rostovshchikov ORCiD
Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences,
head of a department PR MPI
Ukhta State Technical University,
13, ul. Pervomaiskaya, Ukhta, 169300, Russia
e‑mail: vrostovchikov@ugtu.net
Grigoriy V. Ul’yanov ORCiD
Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences,
senior geologist UGiR
RN‑Shel’f‑Arktika,
8, ul. Mozhaiskii Val, Moscow, 121151, Russia
e‑mail: ulyanov.gv@gmail.com
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